Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Espace Sport La Forêt (Gries)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	LNB


	Alliance Sport Alsace		Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.58
	2.26	1.65
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.01)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance Sport Alsace
42.4%

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance Sport Alsace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alliance Sport Alsace than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alliance Sport Alsace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alliance Sport Alsace - Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez Predictions

Users Predictions: Alliance Sport Alsace will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alliance Sport Alsace will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jeanne-Rose A. (C)	13. Clark M.
23. Malwaya K.	45. Cornely T.
1. Myles D.	20. Ndiaye S.
10. Phillips N.	0. Nze B.
33. Vujic M.	9. Pinault B. (C)
Substitutes
11. Bequignon H.	6. Mballa J.
21. Hoeltzel R.	4. Milanese F.
19. Massalski Y.	12. Mkamba J.
7. Noel G.	22. Raharimanantoanina S.
54. Tchoua H.	3. Thelwell D.
Coaches
. Bogavac N.	. Hay M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2.

ASA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pau-Orthez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ASA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 537:516. (average 76.7:73.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 252:218. (average 84:72.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
9	ASA	2	1	1	173:169	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alliance Sport Alsace
French Elite 2
13.02.26	Alliance Sport Alsace - Stade Rochelais	97:89 ✺
06.02.26	Champagne Chalons-Reims - Alliance Sport Alsace	83:89 ✺
30.01.26	Alliance Sport Alsace - Quimper	103:79 ✺
23.01.26	Alliance Sport Alsace - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	80:96 ✺
16.01.26	Poitiers Basket 86 - Alliance Sport Alsace	100:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French Elite 2
17.02.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	97:77 ✺
13.02.26	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	83:80 ✺
06.02.26	Quimper - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	79:85 ✺
30.01.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Caen	90:54 ✺
23.01.26	SPO Rouen Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	78:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
04.10.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Alliance Sport Alsace	75:69
23.05.25	Alliance Sport Alsace - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	89:68
20.05.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Alliance Sport Alsace	71:74
04.04.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Alliance Sport Alsace	81:76
29.11.24	Alliance Sport Alsace - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	78:83
28.04.24	Alliance Sport Alsace - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	85:67
15.10.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Alliance Sport Alsace	71:66

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