Match Info

GREECE: Elite League - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Aries Trikala		Doxa Lefkadas

	1	2
	1.7	1.98
	1.64	1.97
	1.7	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aries Trikala
54.1%

Doxa Lefkadas
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aries Trikala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Doxa Lefkadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aries Trikala than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Lefkadas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Aries Trikala - Doxa Lefkadas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:74

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Preview

Trikala is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Doxa Lefkadas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trikala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trikala won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 230:219 (average 76.7:73).

Including matches at home between the teams Trikala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 74:68

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aries Trikala
Greek Elite League Basketball
12.03.25	Proteas Voulas - Aries Trikala	56:50 ✺
01.03.25	Aries Trikala - Iraklis	59:62 ✺
22.02.25	Near East - Aries Trikala	64:70 ✺
15.02.25	Aries Trikala - Psychiko	65:75 ✺
08.02.25	Panerythraikos - Aries Trikala	71:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Doxa Lefkadas BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
08.03.25	Doxa Lefkadas - Ermis Schimatari	81:64 ✺
01.03.25	Esperos Kallitheas - Doxa Lefkadas	81:88 ✺
22.02.25	Doxa Lefkadas - HANTH	83:75 ✺
15.02.25	Papagou - Doxa Lefkadas	79:73 ✺
08.02.25	Doxa Lefkadas - Megaridas	66:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
30.11.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Aries Trikala	79:76 OT
Greek Basket League A1
08.04.17	Aries Trikala - Doxa Lefkadas	74:68
26.12.16	Doxa Lefkadas - Aries Trikala	72:80

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