Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 15

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Laurinavicius J. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4


	Aris		JL Bourg-en-Bresse

	1	2
	3.05	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.78	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.84	1.39	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.55)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
32.7%

JL Bourg-en-Bresse
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

JL Bourg-en-Bresse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JL Bourg-en-Bresse than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JL Bourg-en-Bresse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aris - JL Bourg en Bresse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 3 - 60%). JL Bourg-en-Bresse will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bochoridis E.	11. Ayayi J.
0. Cooper S.	13. Castaneda X.
55. Hodge D.	34. Kokila K.
23. Roberts J.	4. Nelson A.
21. Willis D.	8. Usher J.
Substitutes
10. Chatzidakis E.	5. Benitez H.
30. Figueroa L.	16. Jacques W.
25. Fillios G.	30. Jefferson B.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	27. Pansa J.
7. Kazamias V.	33. Paul B.
11. Laszewski N.	3. Salash M.
22. Woodbury T.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Fauthoux F.

Preview

Aris has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches JL Bourg-en-Bresse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

JL Bourg-en-Bresse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aris won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 224:236 (average 74.7:78.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 68:76

Last Results with these Odds

JL Bourg-en-Bresse - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.81%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
11.01.25	Promitheas Patras - Aris	106:96 OT ✺
Eurocup
08.01.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	98:79 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.01.25	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	77:88 ✺
Eurocup
02.01.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Aris	90:85 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
28.12.24	AEK Athens - Aris	102:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JL Bourg-en-Bresse
French LNB
12.01.25	Paris - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	98:89 ✺
Eurocup
07.01.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Lietkabelis	79:66 ✺
03.01.25	Türk Telekom BK - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	98:89 ✺
French LNB
27.12.24	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Saint-Quentin	96:85 ✺
22.12.24	Nancy - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
30.10.24	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Aris	88:91
24.01.24	Aris - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	68:76
14.11.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Aris	72:65

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