Match Info

Basket League - Round 16

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Promitheas Patras		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.34	1.63	Watch
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
44.6%

Aris
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Promitheas Patras - Aris Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Promitheas (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Aris (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 168.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Promitheas Patras will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Promitheas Patras will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Aris (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Coleman K.	37. Antetokounmpo K.
32. Gray R.	25. Harrell R.
0. Harris C.	3. Jones B.
29. Karagiannidis A.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
5. Plotas N.	5. Noua A.
Substitutes
7. Bazinas N. (C)	33. Andusic D.
13. Belo J.	13. Bochoridis E. (C)
12. Lagios A.	10. Forester J.
17. Prekas G.	17. Kazamias V.
30. Skliros A.	98. Kulboka A.
77. Stavrakopoulos S.	11. Poulianitis S.
3. Tucker J.	9. Tsairelis M.
Coaches
. Segura C.	. Milicic I.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 3.

Promitheas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1577:1514. (average 78.9:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Promitheas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 808:704. (average 80.8:70.4).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

Aris: 2.43% Promitheas: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Aris	2	1	1	156:132	3
10	Promitheas	2	0	2	147:178	2

Last Results with these Odds

Aris - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
17.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	87:91 ✺
11.01.26	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	96:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	82:92 ✺
06.01.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Promitheas Patras	93:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
03.01.26	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	86:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
20.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Aris	107:113 OT ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.01.26	Aris - Peristeri BC	93:75 ✺
Eurocup
14.01.26	Aris - Hapoel Jerusalem	77:96 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
10.01.26	Aris - Iraklis	78:76 ✺
Eurocup
06.01.26	Basquet Manresa - Aris	113:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
22.11.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	96:80
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	67:77
Greek Basket League A1
11.01.25	Promitheas Patras - Aris	106:96 OT
19.10.24	Aris - Promitheas Patras	86:75
Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.24	Aris - Promitheas Patras	68:75
Greek Basket League A1
23.05.24	Promitheas Patras - Aris	87:88
20.05.24	Aris - Promitheas Patras	89:85 OT

Promitheas Patras - Aris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide