Match Info

EUROPE: EUROCUP - ROUND 15

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Aris		KK Budućnost

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.02
	1.7	2.05
	1.74	1.99	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.42)	2.03 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
53.5%

KK Budućnost
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

KK Budućnost has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KK Budućnost's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Budućnost than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KK Budućnost, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Aris - KK Budućnost Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Budućnost will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Budućnost: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:76

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Preview

Recent matches Aris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KK Budućnost is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aris will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 196-195.

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 75-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
14.01.24	Karditsas - Aris	80:69 ✺
Eurocup
10.01.24	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Aris	90:74 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
06.01.24	Aris - Apollon Patras	76:63 ✺
31.12.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	85:71 ✺
Eurocup
27.12.23	Aris - Śląsk Wrocław	93:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLW
- KK Budućnost
Adriatic League
14.01.24	Krka - KK Budućnost	75:86 ✺
Eurocup
10.01.24	KK Budućnost - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	78:74 ✺
Adriatic League
05.01.24	KK Budućnost - Mornar Bar	103:100 OT ✺
30.12.23	KK Zadar - KK Budućnost	57:67 ✺
Eurocup
27.12.23	KK Budućnost - U BT Cluj-Napoca	77:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
08.11.23	KK Budućnost - Aris	63:65
25.11.15	KK Budućnost - Aris	75:56
21.10.15	Aris - KK Budućnost	75:57

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