Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans		Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

	1	2
	2.1	1.7
	2.08	1.7
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans
45.3%

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southeast Missouri State Redhawks than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Arkansas Little Rock Trojans - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas-Little Rock won 2.

Arkansas-Little Rock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SEMO is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SEMO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arkansas-Little Rock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 557:571. (average 69.6:71.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas-Little Rock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 179:192. (average 59.7:64).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks	67:65 ✺
14.02.26	Eastern Illinois Panthers - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	78:72 ✺
12.02.26	Western Illinois Leathernecks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	58:77 ✺
07.02.26	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - SIU-Edwardsville Cougars	61:71 ✺
05.02.26	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Lindenwood Lions	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	53:56 OT ✺
14.02.26	Lindenwood Lions - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	61:73 ✺
12.02.26	SIU-Edwardsville Cougars - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	74:56 ✺
07.02.26	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles	90:65 ✺
05.02.26	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Morehead State Eagles	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	70:65
07.03.25	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	78:59
11.02.25	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	45:57
14.01.25	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	71:73
22.02.24	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	61:83
27.01.24	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	66:61
02.02.23	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	99:98

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide