Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions		Alabama State Hornets

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.83	1.9
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.88	1.82
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)	1.87 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
49.6%

Alabama State Hornets
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions's performance.

Alabama State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alabama State Hornets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alabama State Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkansas-Pine Bluff (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alabama State (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkansas-Pine Bluff (votes: 2 - 50%). Alabama State (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 1.

Recent performances by Arkansas-Pine Bluff have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alabama State has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1072:1090. (average 67:68.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas-Pine Bluff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 557:575. (average 61.9:63.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama A&M Bulldogs	95:83 ✺
10.12.25	Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	117:84 ✺
06.12.25	DePaul Blue Demons - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	76:72 ✺
03.12.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	62:63 ✺
23.11.25	Miami OH RedHawks - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	111:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WLLWL
- Alabama State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils - Alabama State Hornets	69:89 ✺
29.12.25	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Alabama State Hornets	94:56 ✺
22.12.25	Memphis Tigers - Alabama State Hornets	88:67 ✺
17.12.25	Cincinnati Bearcats - Alabama State Hornets	88:51 ✺
11.12.25	Missouri Tigers - Alabama State Hornets	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.25	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	63:75
06.01.25	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	93:91
17.02.24	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	74:80
08.01.24	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	72:83
11.02.23	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets	71:74
04.01.23	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	80:66
12.02.22	Alabama State Hornets - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	70:75

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alabama State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide