Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Appalachian State Mountaineers

	1	2
	1.29	3.75
	1.28	3.75
	1.29	3.76
	1.27	3.62	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.68 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN2

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
74.1%

Appalachian State Mountaineers
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas State Red Wolves's performance.

Appalachian State Mountaineers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Appalachian State Mountaineers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas State Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Appalachian State Mountaineers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Appalachian State Mountaineers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Appalachian State Mountaineers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:65

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arkansas State won 2.

Recent matches Arkansas State is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Appalachian State is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Appalachian State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arkansas State is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Appalachian State to win the game is with odds 3.22.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Arkansas State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1105:1169 (average 69.1:73.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arkansas State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 514:529 (average 73.4:75.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia State Panthers	85:59 ✺
16.01.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	83:63 ✺
11.01.25	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	78:84 ✺
09.01.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	76:62 ✺
04.01.25	James Madison Dukes - Arkansas State Red Wolves	67:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- Appalachian State Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	James Madison Dukes - Appalachian State Mountaineers	50:58 ✺
16.01.25	Old Dominion Monarchs - Appalachian State Mountaineers	43:62 ✺
11.01.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - James Madison Dukes	86:66 ✺
08.01.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	74:51 ✺
04.01.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Texas State Bobcats	72:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
10.03.24	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	65:67
01.03.24	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	80:57
28.01.23	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	63:51
25.02.22	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Appalachian State Mountaineers	62:60
27.01.22	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	61:54
30.01.20	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Appalachian State Mountaineers	64:71
16.01.20	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	83:80 OT (72:72)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Appalachian State Mountaineers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide