Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		South Alabama Jaguars

	1	2
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.25
	1.31	3.59
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.47
	1.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
72.3%

South Alabama Jaguars
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 2.

In recent matches, Arkansas State has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Alabama is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Arkansas State has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arkansas State is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1392:1463. (average 69.6:73.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 583:572. (average 72.9:71.5).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Arkansas State: 0.22% South Alabama: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	103:70 ✺
07.02.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Bowling Green Falcons	91:54 ✺
04.02.26	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	66:70 ✺
31.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Marshall Thundering Herd	61:70 ✺
28.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Old Dominion Monarchs	71:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- South Alabama Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - South Alabama Jaguars	78:84 ✺
07.02.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Buffalo Bulls	81:69 ✺
04.02.26	Appalachian State Mountaineers - South Alabama Jaguars	65:57 ✺
31.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Georgia State Panthers	69:67 ✺
29.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	53:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	91:87 OT
09.03.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	71:74
19.02.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	56:60
09.01.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	76:62
24.02.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	95:78
17.02.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	73:76
02.02.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	62:82

Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars