Match Info

NCAA

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Texas-Arlington Mavericks

	1	2
	1.53	2.6
	1.47	2.55
	1.42	2.99
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.36	3.05
	1.51	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	2.73 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
65.1%

Texas-Arlington Mavericks
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Texas-Arlington Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas-Arlington Mavericks than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas Arlington Mavericks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 3.

Arkansas State has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Texas-Arlington is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arkansas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arkansas State is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Texas-Arlington will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1332:1403. (average 70.1:73.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 750:757. (average 75:75.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - North Dakota State Bison	85:80 OT ✺
24.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	74:63 ✺
21.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Arkansas State Red Wolves	100:69 ✺
19.11.25	St. Marys CA Gaels - Arkansas State Red Wolves	85:72 ✺
11.11.25	Missouri State Bears - Arkansas State Red Wolves	85:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Texas-Arlington Mavericks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.11.25	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	66:61 ✺
22.11.25	Weber State Wildcats - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	73:74 ✺
21.11.25	Campbell Fighting Camels - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	67:71 ✺
18.11.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	76:84 ✺
15.11.25	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Missouri State Bears	67:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.12.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	83:79
19.02.22	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	49:58
20.01.22	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	75:70
27.02.21	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	64:56
26.02.21	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	73:71
30.01.21	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	64:65
29.01.21	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	83:75 OT (68:68)

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide