Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Saryarka Velodrome (Astana)


	Astana		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.9	Watch
	1.25	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
70.2%

Kaspiy Aktau
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Astana - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juskevicius A.	8. Ivanov V.
23. Pan R.	7. Marchuk R.
26. Sarsengaliev M.	4. McGill E.
9. Shcherbak V.	35. Moorman J. P.
17. Zhigulin A.	5. Neff K.
Substitutes
88. Abashidze S.	11. Denisov D.
47. Aitkali R.	1. Dots V.
55. Maydekin A.	25. Marchuk M.
3. Murzagaliyev R.	15. Petrishinets V.
76. Orazbekov A.	22. Rolgeyzer A.
98. Suleimenov A.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Astana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kaspiy Aktau has had a series of home games.

In this match, Astana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1720:1211. (average 86:60.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 877:646. (average 87.7:64.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Astana
Kazakh National League Basketball
28.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	71:79 ✺
27.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	53:68 ✺
24.05.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	72:74 ✺
19.05.26	Astana - Barsy Atyrau	88:87 ✺
16.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Astana	79:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Kaspiy Aktau Basketball
Kazakh National League Basketball
28.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	71:79 ✺
27.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	53:68 ✺
24.05.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	72:74 ✺
12.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Almaty	81:70 ✺
11.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Almaty	88:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh National League Basketball
28.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	71:79
27.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	53:68
24.05.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	72:74
11.04.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	73:68
10.04.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	73:68
03.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	73:68
02.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Astana	53:75

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