Match Info

Date: 1 March 2021, Monday


	Astana		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	1.45	2.6
	1.45	2.6
	1.48	2.55
	1.44	2.6
	1.47	2.77
	1.44	2.62
	1.49	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.64 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
64.4%

Tallinna Kalev
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Astana - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Kalev will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

Astana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kalev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Astana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Astana have a series of home games.

Astana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Astana won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1258-1234.

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 640-572.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Astana
VTB United League
12.02.21	Astana - BC Khimki	77:82 ✺
04.02.21	Astana - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	60:78 ✺
31.01.21	Astana - Avtodor Saratov	83:92 ✺
24.01.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Astana	77:76 ✺
09.01.21	Astana - Lokomotiv-Kuban	86:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.02.21	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	96:54 ✺
VTB United League
12.02.21	Tallinna Kalev - Parma Perm	72:85 ✺
09.02.21	Parma Perm - Tallinna Kalev	80:72 ✺
07.02.21	CSKA Moscow - Tallinna Kalev	102:107 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.02.21	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	60:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
05.11.20	Tallinna Kalev - Astana	85:92
08.03.20	Astana - Tallinna Kalev	78:83
25.11.19	Tallinna Kalev - Astana	84:76
11.03.19	Tallinna Kalev - Astana	102:74
16.12.18	Astana - Tallinna Kalev	105:78
22.04.18	Astana - Tallinna Kalev	102:92
12.11.17	Tallinna Kalev - Astana	83:73

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