Match Info

POLAND: 1. Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)


	Astoria Bydgoszcz		Górnik Wałbrzych

	1	2
	1.6	2.25
	1.55	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.25
	1.64	2.27
	1.67	2.1
	1.6	2.24
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.88)	2.23 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Bydgoszcz
58.1%

Górnik Wałbrzych
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astoria Bydgoszcz's performance.

Górnik Wałbrzych has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Wałbrzych might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astoria Bydgoszcz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Wałbrzych could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Astoria Bydgoszcz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Wałbrzych will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Jeszke D.	4. Durski D. (C)
97. Kaszowski M.	91. Gorenczyk M.
12. Kiwilsza S.	55. Jakobczyk K.
0. Malgorzaciak F.	2. Niedzwiedzki P.
29. Zegzula F.	0. Wilk P.
Substitutes
21. Burczyk K.	95. Czempiel M.
99. Pluta M.	33. Dawdo K.
10. Smigielski P. (C)	1. Jackson D.
91. Stupnicki J.	8. Kowalenko W.
92. Ulczynski J.	92. Margiciok K.
3. Walker A.	96. Mindowicz M.
93. Winkowski P.	44. Pabian H.
Coaches
. Krutikov A.	. Adamek A.

Preview

4th leg. Gornik Walbrzych leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astoria Bydgoszcz won 3.

Recent matches Astoria Bydgoszcz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Górnik Wałbrzych is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Astoria Bydgoszcz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Astoria Bydgoszcz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 509-504.

Including matches at home between the teams Astoria Bydgoszcz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 227-211.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych	74:86 ✺
19.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:65 ✺
18.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	65:68 ✺
15.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	91:62 ✺
12.05.24	GKS Tychy - Astoria Bydgoszcz	80:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW
- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych	74:86 ✺
19.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:65 ✺
18.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	65:68 ✺
11.05.24	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Górnik Wałbrzych	92:97 ✺
05.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	86:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.05.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych	74:86
19.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:65
18.05.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	65:68
18.02.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	75:83
15.11.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych	58:48
17.01.19	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Górnik Wałbrzych	95:77
13.10.18	Górnik Wałbrzych - Astoria Bydgoszcz	76:66

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