Match Info

1. Liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)

Referee: Kotowski S. (Pol)


	Astoria Bydgoszcz		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	2
			Watch
	1.31	3.12
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.46	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Bydgoszcz
66.3%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astoria Bydgoszcz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kotwica Kołobrzeg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Astoria Bydgoszcz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Chylinski M.	12. Dzierzak P. (C)
33. Gruszecki K.	10. Feagin K.
50. Kemp A.	14. Kurpisz M.
14. Kimbrough M.	29. Leonczyk P.
55. Nowakowski M. (C)	6. Siembiga W.
Substitutes
95. Andrzejewski J.	13. Dlugosz S.
12. Borkowski K.	34. Janczak S.
5. Kachelski N.	7. Lewis J.
11. Kaminski K.	9. Nelson R.
32. Kedel P.
10. Ptak B.
Coaches
. Skiba G.	. Frank R.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Astoria Bydgoszcz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 955:939. (average 79.6:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Astoria Bydgoszcz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 507:460. (average 84.5:76.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	3	1	2	281:282	4

Last Results with these Odds

Astoria Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.52%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
19.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	88:91 OT ✺
15.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	84:72 ✺
11.04.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	74:78 ✺
07.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Miners Katowice	93:84 ✺
29.03.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Astoria Bydgoszcz	88:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- SKK Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
19.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	88:91 OT ✺
15.04.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	74:72 ✺
11.04.26	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	90:88 ✺
08.04.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Sokol Lancut	104:84 ✺
02.04.26	ŁKS Łódź - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	91:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
19.04.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	88:91 OT
15.02.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	76:66
25.10.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	89:91 OT
16.03.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	73:71
07.12.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	73:63
28.02.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	79:86
11.11.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	81:66

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