The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astros de Jalisco 62.4%
Fuerza Regia 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Fuerza Regia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astros de Jalisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerza Regia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuerza Regia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Astros de Jalisco - Fuerza Regia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
10. Anderson A.
31. Avila J.
13. Ascanio J.
4. Bamforth S. (C)
9. Cruz Saldivar F. J. (C)
27. Giron D.
5. Kyser M.
12. Holmes A.
26. Mendoza R.
44. Ibarra J.
Substitutes
3. 3
10. Anderson A.
12. Andrade P.
6. Andriassi J.
7. Andriassi M.
2. Bejarano D.
8. Ayala D.
24. Fernandez T.
29. Benson B.
3. Jaimes F.
4. Slaughter A. J.
0. Langston W.
11. Zubcic T.
23. Martinez J.
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - LNBP Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - LNBP Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astros won 2.
Astros has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fuerza Regia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Astros may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Astros holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Fuerza Regia in today's match, at odds of 2.36.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Astros has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1698:1716 (averaging 84.9:85.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Astros against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 1205:1204 goals (averaging 86.1:86 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
L
Pts
2
Astros
28
20
8
2473:2246
48
3
Fuerza Regia
28
19
9
2512:2381
47
Last Results with these Odds
Astros de Jalisco - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.17%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.