The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atléticos de San Germán 46.6%
Leones de Ponce 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atléticos de San Germán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atléticos de San Germán's form might have worsened.
Leones de Ponce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones de Ponce's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atléticos de San Germán than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atléticos de San Germán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones de Ponce than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones de Ponce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atléticos de San Germán - Leones de Ponce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Branch O.
20. Crutcher J.
11. Curbelo A.
0. De Jesus J. (C)
55. Hamilton G.
39. Fernandez T.
12. Pacheco J. (C)
45. Manek B.
34. Perkins N.
36. Robinson T.
Substitutes
43. Brady C.
33. Caballero F.
35. Gordon A.
17. Figueroa O.
9. Hargis M.
77. Lezcano J.
0. Hopping R.
22. Negron C.
8. Matos J.
2. Powell B.
30. Pizarro C.
51. Ramos E.
10. Rose K.
21. Santos K.
1. Torres J.
1. Vazquez A.
30. Walker J.
Preview
Leones De Ponce leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atléticos won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Atléticos could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atléticos won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1713:1749. (average 85.7:87.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atléticos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 966:932. (average 87.8:84.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Leones de Ponce - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.