Match Info

NBA

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Atlanta Hawks		Oklahoma City Thunder

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.24
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3.91	1.31
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.12)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 238.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Hawks
27%

Oklahoma City Thunder
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Atlanta Hawks - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 237.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlanta Hawks will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Oklahoma City (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 115:124

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Alexander-Walker N.	5. Dort L.
18. Gueye M.	7. Holmgren C.
17. Okongwu O.	55. Hartenstein I.
5. Daniels D.	22. Wallace C.
11. Young T.	2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
Substitutes
12. Dante N.	23. Barnhizer B.
33. Houstan C.	15. Carlson B.
3. Kennard L.	13. Dieng O.
27. Krejci V.	25. Mitchell A.
14. Newell A.	21. Wiggins A.
0. Toppin J.	6. Williams J.
2. Wallace K.	3. Youngblood C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Recent performances by Atlanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oklahoma City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oklahoma City is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Atlanta: Djurisic N. (Inactive) Ndiaye E. J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Oklahoma City: Caruso A. (Concussion) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury) Williams J. (Wrist Injury) Williams K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlanta: Risacher Z. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Oklahoma City: Joe I. (Knee Injury) Wallace C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2288:2373. (average 114.4:118.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 951:935. (average 118.9:116.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Hawks
NBA
24.10.25	Orlando Magic - Atlanta Hawks	107:111 ✺
22.10.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	118:138 ✺
16.10.25	Atlanta Hawks - Houston Rockets	115:133 ✺
13.10.25	Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat	119:118 OT ✺
11.10.25	Memphis Grizzlies - Atlanta Hawks	116:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW
- Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
23.10.25	Indiana Pacers - Oklahoma City Thunder	135:141 OT ✺
21.10.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets	125:124 OT ✺
17.10.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets	94:91 ✺
14.10.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	112:116 ✺
11.10.25	Indiana Pacers - Oklahoma City Thunder	116:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
28.02.25	Atlanta Hawks - Oklahoma City Thunder	119:135
27.10.24	Oklahoma City Thunder - Atlanta Hawks	128:104
17.10.24	Oklahoma City Thunder - Atlanta Hawks	104:99
03.01.24	Atlanta Hawks - Oklahoma City Thunder	141:138
06.11.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Atlanta Hawks	126:117
25.01.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Atlanta Hawks	132:137
05.12.22	Atlanta Hawks - Oklahoma City Thunder	114:121

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