Match Info

Liga A

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)


	Atlético Platense		Gimnasia y Esgrima

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85
	1.75	1.98
	1.77	1.94
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.71	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	1.92 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Platense
52%

Gimnasia y Esgrima
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Platense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gimnasia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 159, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia y Esgrima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Flor E.	22. Carabali B.
2. Guerrero J. M.	6. Cisneros A.
31. Pena A.	30. Cosolito M.
10. Smaniotti F.	77. Grun F.
20. Woods D.	12. Toretta E.
Substitutes
25. Burgos N.	20. Ayala V.
5. Franchela T.	10. Carrasco S.
13. Goicoechea M.	3. Centeno J.
4. Jara A.	5. Chacon M.
8. Mazzucchelli S.	9. Dato M.
12. Morales S.	11. Horton K.
7. Urbina A.	14. Rivero C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0.

Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Platense has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 957:1151. (average 73.6:88.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 511:590. (average 73:84.3).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Gimnasia: 16.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Gimnasia	4	2	2	314:311	0.500
13	Platense	3	1	2	235:258	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Platense Florida
Argentinian LNB
26.12.25	Obras Sanitarias - Atlético Platense	80:72 ✺
21.12.25	Quimsa - Atlético Platense	91:74 ✺
19.12.25	Ciclista Olímpico - Atlético Platense	94:88 ✺
15.12.25	Atlético Platense - Atenas	86:81 ✺
12.12.25	San Martín de Corrientes - Atlético Platense	85:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
18.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Quimsa	86:78 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Oberá TC	80:87 ✺
05.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	93:67 ✺
22.11.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	84:72 ✺
20.11.25	Argentino - Gimnasia y Esgrima	64:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
19.04.25	Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima	88:94
19.12.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Atlético Platense	105:71
08.05.24	Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima	69:102
09.01.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Atlético Platense	102:69
24.11.22	Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima	81:89
18.10.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Atlético Platense	90:87 OT (68:68)
23.01.22	Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima	74:80

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