Match Info

Serie A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Palasport Del Mauro (Avellino)


	Avellino Basket		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.8
	1.93	1.89
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino Basket
49.7%

Fortitudo Bologna
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino Basket than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Cicchetti A.	6. Anumba S.
11. Francis B.	7. Della Rosa G.
5. Grande A.	31. Perkovic T.
1. Lewis J.	3. Sarto A.
0. Zerini A.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
19. Donati G.	26. De Vico N.
10. Fianco M.	21. Fantinelli M.
95. Fresno L.	10. Imbro M.
2. Jurkatamm M.	8. Mastellari M.
22. Pini G.	33. Moretti S.
55. Pullazi R.
Coaches
. Buscaglia M.	. Caja A.

Preview

Fortitudo Bologna leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2.

Recent performances by Avellino have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortitudo Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 487:514. (average 69.6:73.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 239:206. (average 79.7:68.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Fortitudo Bologna	2	2	0	175:151	4
5	Avellino Basket	2	2	0	160:141	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avellino Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.05.26	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	75:71 ✺
09.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	69:64 ✺
07.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	76:58 ✺
03.05.26	Avellino Basket - Juvi Cremona	81:75 ✺
26.04.26	Avellino Basket - Roseto Sharks	87:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.05.26	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	75:71 ✺
09.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	69:64 ✺
07.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	76:58 ✺
26.04.26	Forlì - Fortitudo Bologna	65:96 ✺
12.04.26	Brindisi - Fortitudo Bologna	71:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.05.26	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	75:71
09.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	69:64
07.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	76:58
29.03.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	71:62
03.12.25	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	85:62
09.03.25	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	79:73
28.11.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	92:64

Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide