Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Twinsbet Arena (Vilnius)

Referee: Celik H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	BC Wolves		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.85	1.97	Watch
	1.84	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.92	Watch
	1.85	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.51)	1.95 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Wolves
51.7%

Joventut Badalona
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BC Wolves's form might have worsened.

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joventut Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Wolves than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BC Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BC Wolves - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Joventut will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Joventut: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Blazevic M.	17. Dekker S.
1. Cowan Jr. A.	1. Kraag Y.
10. Miniotas R.	13. Pustovyi A.
15. Thurman T.	30. Robertson K.
13. Zemaitis K.	16. Vives G.
Substitutes
12. Andrews A.	2. Dotson D.
9. Baslyk D.	12. Gates K.
4. Brooks G.	88. Hanga A.
23. Jogela M.	25. Oni M.
8. Kariniauskas V.	19. Platteeuw I.
98. Kulboka A.	4. Ribas P.
44. Taylor J.	44. Tomic A.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Miret Garcia D.

Preview

Wolves is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Joventut is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Joventut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Joventut have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wolves won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 263:264 (average 87.7:88).

Including matches at home between the teams Wolves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 79:94

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Wolves
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.12.24	BC Wolves - Mažeikiai	95:94 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
22.12.24	Jonava - BC Wolves	77:95 ✺
Eurocup
18.12.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - BC Wolves	114:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.12.24	Juventus Utena - BC Wolves	100:110 ✺
Eurocup
11.12.24	BC Wolves - Hapoel Tel Aviv	104:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
30.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Gran Canaria 2014	89:78 ✺
27.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE	92:72 ✺
22.12.24	Básquet Coruña - Joventut Badalona	85:94 ✺
Eurocup
18.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Trefl Sopot	92:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	93:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
16.10.24	Joventut Badalona - BC Wolves	63:86
20.12.23	BC Wolves - Joventut Badalona	79:94
18.10.23	Joventut Badalona - BC Wolves	107:98 OT

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