Match Info

LBL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)


	BK Ventspils		Valmiera Glass Via

	1	2
	2.05	1.73
	2.03	1.73
	1.81	1.88	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.72)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BK Ventspils
46.8%

Valmiera Glass Via
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BK Ventspils's form might have worsened.

Valmiera Glass Via has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valmiera Glass Via's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BK Ventspils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera Glass Via than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmiera Glass Via, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Atanasovs N.	12. Kohs V.
0. Johnson Cash A.	7. Pacher A. J.
20. Shelton C.	29. Pajic O.
9. Urkis A.	3. Stenionis D.
30. Zakis R.	5. Tait-Jones A.
Substitutes
2. Ausejs A. (C)	4. Dziuba P.
10. Berze R.	34. Kalnins J.
7. Birkans R.	1. Karlsons K.
23. Teirumnieks R.	6. Vitols M. (C)
Coaches
. Fogels G.	. Vecvagars K.

Preview

Valmiera Glass Via leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1747:1665. (average 87.4:83.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ventspils won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 780:740. (average 86.7:82.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ventspils
Latvian LBL
13.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	107:92 ✺
10.05.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	79:101 ✺
07.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	112:115 OT ✺
04.05.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	67:75 ✺
02.05.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	94:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWL
- Valmiera Glass Via Basketball
Latvian LBL
13.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	107:92 ✺
10.05.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	79:101 ✺
07.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	112:115 OT ✺
03.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Rīgas Zeļļi	98:93 ✺
01.05.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Valmiera Glass Via	107:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian LBL
13.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	107:92
10.05.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	79:101
07.05.26	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	112:115 OT
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.03.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	85:99
Latvian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	70:84
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
12.11.25	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	93:99
Latvian Cup Basketball
18.01.25	Valmiera Glass Via - BK Ventspils	62:79

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