Match Info

LBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)


	BK Ventspils		VEF Riga

	1	2
	1.9	1.83
	1.92	1.82
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.97	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.06)	1.86 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BK Ventspils
49.7%

VEF Riga
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BK Ventspils's performance.

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VEF Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BK Ventspils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VEF Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BK Ventspils - VEF Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Ausejs A. (C)	7. Aleksandrovs R.
10. Berze R.	5. Andzevs A.
7. Birkans R.	1. Bumeisters R.
0. Johnson Cash A.	0. Hollis C.
9. Urkis A.	3. Stokes K.
Substitutes
15. Atanasovs N.	9. Bertans Dai. (C)
24. Bryant Donell T. R.	22. Butirins R.
31. Mezulis E.	13. Gulbis M.
20. Shelton C.	16. Huffman B.
23. Teirumnieks R.	35. Kilps K.
30. Zakis R.	20. Rocak T.
	55. Sydorov I.
Coaches
. Fogels G.	. Gulbis M.

Preview

Ventspils leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 3.

Ventspils is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, VEF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, VEF has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ventspils will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1553:1717. (average 77.7:85.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ventspils won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 602:614. (average 86:87.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ventspils
Latvian LBL
30.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	59:82 ✺
27.04.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	86:84 ✺
24.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	87:76 ✺
17.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	104:82 ✺
14.04.26	Ogre - BK Ventspils	66:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWW
- VEF Riga
Latvian LBL
30.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	59:82 ✺
27.04.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	86:84 ✺
24.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	87:76 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.04.26	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	87:72 ✺
03.04.26	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian LBL
30.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	59:82
27.04.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	86:84
24.04.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	87:76
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.03.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	90:71
22.03.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	72:69
18.03.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	77:54
13.02.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	78:87

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