Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Ball State Cardinals		Bowling Green Falcons

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.42	2.95
	1.41	2.78	Watch
	1.41	2.81
	1.45	2.85
	1.41	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	2.86 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ball State Cardinals
66.9%

Bowling Green Falcons
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:72

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ball State won 3.

Ball State is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bowling Green is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ball State could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ball State will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Ball State to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ball State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1448:1482 (average 72.4:74.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ball State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 638:662 (average 70.9:73.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ball State Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.25	Ball State Cardinals - Miami OH RedHawks	72:80 ✺
04.01.25	Kent State Golden Flashes - Ball State Cardinals	67:75 ✺
31.12.24	Ball State Cardinals - Anderson Ravens	89:76
21.12.24	Ball State Cardinals - Evansville Purple Aces	80:43 ✺
14.12.24	Bellarmine Knights - Ball State Cardinals	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 LWWWW
- Bowling Green Falcons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.25	Western Michigan Broncos - Bowling Green Falcons	79:83 ✺
03.01.25	Bowling Green Falcons - Akron Zips	68:71 ✺
23.12.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Aquinas Saints	87:62
21.12.24	Bowling Green Falcons - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	68:93 ✺
14.12.24	UMKC Kangaroos - Bowling Green Falcons	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.03.24	Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals	80:70
30.01.24	Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	72:81
11.02.23	Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	93:72
31.01.23	Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals	60:69
19.02.22	Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals	82:91
01.01.22	Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	81:80
16.02.21	Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	62:75

Ball State Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide