Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Ball State Cardinals		Evansville Purple Aces

	1	2
	1.48	2.75
	1.48	2.7
	1.47	2.7
	1.45	2.84
	1.46	2.68	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.5	2.69
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	2.71 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ball State Cardinals
64.9%

Evansville Purple Aces
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ball State Cardinals's performance.

Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evansville Purple Aces might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ball State Cardinals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evansville Purple Aces than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evansville Purple Aces could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ball State Cardinals - Evansville Purple Aces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:68

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Preview

Recent matches Ball State is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Evansville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ball State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ball State will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ball State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 372:383 (average 74.4:76.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ball State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 170:141 (average 85:70.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ball State Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.12.24	Bellarmine Knights - Ball State Cardinals	82:86 ✺
08.12.24	SIU-Edwardsville Cougars - Ball State Cardinals	82:69 ✺
27.11.24	Ball State Cardinals - Richmond Spiders	60:73 ✺
25.11.24	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - Ball State Cardinals	61:63 ✺
20.11.24	Ball State Cardinals - Detroit Mercy Titans	59:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Evansville Purple Aces basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.24	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Evansville Purple Aces	80:54 ✺
12.12.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Chattanooga Mocs	67:75 ✺
07.12.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	65:79 ✺
03.12.24	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	63:61 ✺
24.11.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Campbell Fighting Camels	66:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.11.23	Evansville Purple Aces - Ball State Cardinals	74:50
10.12.22	Ball State Cardinals - Evansville Purple Aces	88:69
09.11.19	Evansville Purple Aces - Ball State Cardinals	79:75
09.12.18	Evansville Purple Aces - Ball State Cardinals	89:77
24.11.18	Ball State Cardinals - Evansville Purple Aces	82:72

Ball State Cardinals - Evansville Purple Aces: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide