Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Murray State Racers		Evansville Purple Aces

	1	2
	1.06	9.5
	1.05	8
	1.09	6.27	Watch
	1.06	9.25
	1.06	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.08)	8.2 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murray State Racers
88.5%

Evansville Purple Aces
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murray State Racers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murray State won 4.

In recent matches, Murray State has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Evansville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Evansville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murray State is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Murray State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1093:1026. (average 72.9:68.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Murray State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 496:454. (average 70.9:64.9).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Murray State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	78:61 ✺
15.02.26	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	70:87 ✺
12.02.26	Indiana State Sycamores - Murray State Racers	72:74 ✺
09.02.26	Murray State Racers - Northern Iowa Panthers	60:89 ✺
06.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Murray State Racers	81:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Evansville Purple Aces basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois-Chicago Flames	46:84 ✺
12.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	86:60 ✺
09.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois State Redbirds	88:80 ✺
06.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	70:63 OT ✺
03.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Indiana State Sycamores	63:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Murray State Racers	69:79
06.03.25	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	74:53
29.01.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Murray State Racers	78:74
03.12.24	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	63:61
10.02.24	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	73:70
06.01.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Murray State Racers	59:81
18.02.23	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	74:58

Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces