Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:00	Nbl+


	Ballarat Miners		Northern Tasmania

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.25	1.57
	2.20	1.62
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.7)	1.6 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 188.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballarat Miners
42%

Northern Tasmania
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballarat Miners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballarat Miners's form might have worsened.

Northern Tasmania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northern Tasmania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballarat Miners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tasmania than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northern Tasmania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ballarat Miners - Northern Tasmania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:96

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Preview

Ballarat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Northern Tasmania has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Northern Tasmania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Northern Tasmania might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballarat Miners
Australian NBL1 South
13.06.26	Casey Cavaliers - Ballarat Miners	117:106 ✺
05.06.26	Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners	116:98 ✺
31.05.26	Ballarat Miners - Knox Raiders	92:109 ✺
30.05.26	Ballarat Miners - Geelong United	101:82 ✺
24.05.26	Ballarat Miners - Hobart Chargers	110:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Northern Tasmania Basketball
Australian NBL1 South
12.06.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Northern Tasmania	91:104 ✺
30.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Hobart Chargers	99:94 ✺
24.05.26	Frankston Blues - Northern Tasmania	96:85 ✺
23.05.26	Geelong United - Northern Tasmania	113:92 ✺
16.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Dandenong Rangers	93:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLLL

Ballarat Miners - Northern Tasmania

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ballarat Miners - Northern Tasmania Predictions

Preview

Form

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