Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 27

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Fernando Martin (Fuenlabrada)


	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
	2.85	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.48
	2.55	1.52
	2.83	1.46
	2.85	1.44	Watch
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (1.96)	1.46 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
34.5%

Bilbao Basket
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baloncesto Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bilbao Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bilbao Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bilbao will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1.

Fuenlabrada has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bilbao Basket is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bilbao Basket have a series of home games.

Bilbao Basket will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1587-1680.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 730-715.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
Spanish ACB League
09.04.23	Girona - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	85:60 ✺
01.04.23	Unicaja Malaga - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	100:75 ✺
26.03.23	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid	78:102 ✺
18.03.23	Joventut Badalona - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	103:86 ✺
12.03.23	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - CB Breogán	73:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
09.04.23	Bilbao Basket - Barcelona	82:80 ✺
01.04.23	Bilbao Basket - Basket Zaragoza	81:68 ✺
26.03.23	Baskonia - Bilbao Basket	100:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.03.23	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	67:71 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.03.23	Bilbao Basket - Girona	84:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
20.11.22	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	109:82
03.04.22	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Bilbao Basket	87:82
17.10.21	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	85:83
15.05.21	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	87:82
20.12.20	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Bilbao Basket	70:74
27.10.19	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	92:80
04.02.18	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	77:83

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