Match Info

ACB - Round 12

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Bilbao Basket		Barcelona

	1	2
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.32
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	3	1.33
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
29.4%

Barcelona
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Bilbao Basket - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bilbao will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bilbao: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bilbao Basket will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Hilliard D.	3. Cale M.
32. Hlinason T.	14. Hernangomez W.
2. Normantas M.	5. Norris M.
19. Pantzar M. J.	0. Punter K.
18. Petrasek L.	13. Satoransky T.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	8. Brizuela D.
22. Font A.	19. Fall Y.
3. Frey H.	41. Keita S.
7. Jaworski J.	20. Laprovittola N.
10. Krampelj M.	2. Marcos J.
73. Lazarevic S.	44. Parra J.
12. Zecevic A.	6. Vesely J.
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Pascual X.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Bilbao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1464:1666. (average 73.2:83.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bilbao won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 662:756. (average 73.6:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	100:99 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Prievidza - Bilbao Basket	46:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Força Lleida CE	93:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Sporting Lisbon	94:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Gran Canaria 2014	79:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
23.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	72:71 ✺
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	90:80 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
16.12.25	Paris - Barcelona	69:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Basquet Manresa - Barcelona	62:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
30.05.25	Bilbao Basket - Barcelona	68:85
19.01.25	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	97:84
12.05.24	Bilbao Basket - Barcelona	68:72
22.10.23	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	91:82
09.04.23	Bilbao Basket - Barcelona	82:80
22.01.23	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	88:78
10.05.22	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	84:62

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