Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 11

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Fernando Martin (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada		Unicaja Malaga

	1	2
	3.55	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.37
	3.1	1.37
	3.2	1.32
	3.47	1.33
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.48)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
29%

Unicaja Malaga
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baloncesto Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Unicaja Malaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unicaja Malaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unicaja Malaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Unicaja Malaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Unicaja will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1.

Fuenlabrada is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unicaja in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unicaja is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Unicaja to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 1442-1582.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 736-811.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
Spanish ACB League
04.12.22	Canarias - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	97:72 ✺
26.11.22	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Joventut Badalona	81:85 ✺
20.11.22	Bilbao Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	109:82 ✺
05.11.22	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Basquet Manresa	101:97 ✺
30.10.22	Real Madrid - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	91:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Unicaja Málaga
Spanish ACB League
03.12.22	Unicaja Malaga - Basket Zaragoza	104:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.11.22	Dijon - Unicaja Malaga	70:91 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.11.22	Valencia - Unicaja Malaga	67:83 ✺
19.11.22	Obradoiro CAB - Unicaja Malaga	86:87 ✺
06.11.22	Unicaja Malaga - Granada	94:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
16.02.22	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Unicaja Malaga	53:73
20.11.21	Unicaja Malaga - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	90:86
07.02.21	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Unicaja Malaga	68:85
22.12.20	Unicaja Malaga - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	84:90
29.12.19	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Unicaja Malaga	81:82
09.05.19	Unicaja Malaga - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	89:84 OT (73:73)
04.10.18	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Unicaja Malaga	79:93

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