The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valencia 70.9%
Unicaja Malaga 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.1%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unicaja Malaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valencia - Unicaja Malaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:88
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
0. Badio B.
1. Audige C.
8. Montero J.
2. Balcerowski A.
4. Pradilla J.
7. Barreiro J.
3. Reuvers N.
55. Perry K.
1. Taylor K.
33. Tillie K.
Substitutes
24. Costello M.
9. Diaz A.
5. De Larrea S.
14. Djedovic N.
7. Key B.
27. Duarte C.
6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
4. Kalinoski T.
10. Moore O.
0. Perez T.
77. Sima Y.
19. Sulejmanovic E.
13. Thompson D.
3. Webb J. III
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.
. Navarro I.
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 3.
Valencia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Unicaja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Unicaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Valencia is considered a favorite.
We predict that Valencia will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1605:1583. (average 80.3:79.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 771:758. (average 77.1:75.8).
Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now
Valencia: 12.97% Unicaja: 3.09%
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
8
Valencia
2
1
1
197:187
2
10
Unicaja
3
1
2
254:253
2
Last Results with these Odds
Valencia - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 70.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.