Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Milwaukee Dinelli Arena (Cento) 🌤️ ...


	Baltur Cento		Rieti

	1	2
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.84	1.8
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	1.85 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltur Cento
50.2%

Rieti
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltur Cento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Rieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltur Cento than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltur Cento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baltur Cento - Rieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Berdini N.	8. Guariglia T.
8. Conti L.	22. Hogue D.
21. Davis S.	5. Palumbo M.
10. DeVoe G.	11. Perry D.
11. Moretti M.	27. Udom L.
Substitutes
7. Arletti G.	98. Paesano A.
28. Fall A.	0. Parravicini M.
17. Guerrieri L.	7. Pascolo D.
14. Montano M.	13. Piccin L.
6. Piazzi R.	2. Piunti G.
4. Tanfoglio N.
32. Tiberti E.
Coaches
. Di Paolantonio E.	. Ciani F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cento won 1.

Recent form of Cento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rieti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 367:392. (average 61.2:65.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 81:84. (average 40.5:42).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	452:459	8
13	Cento	6	2	4	451:511	4

Last Results with these Odds

Baltur Cento - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltur Cento
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
28.12.25	Urania Milano - Baltur Cento	97:85 ✺
21.12.25	Baltur Cento - Verona	69:76 ✺
14.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Baltur Cento	80:66 ✺
07.12.25	Baltur Cento - Avellino Basket	101:90 ✺
30.11.25	Pistoia Basket - Baltur Cento	91:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
28.12.25	Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna	68:62 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	91:73 ✺
17.12.25	Rieti - Brindisi	87:76 ✺
14.12.25	Rieti - Libertas Livorno	64:75 ✺
07.12.25	Basket Torino - Rieti	82:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.10.25	Rieti - Baltur Cento	73:67
29.01.25	Baltur Cento - Rieti	81:84
22.12.24	Rieti - Baltur Cento	76:65
07.04.24	Rieti - Baltur Cento	84:75
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
18.04.21	Baltur Cento - Rieti	Canceled
03.01.21	Rieti - Baltur Cento	75:79

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