Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 19

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaSojourner (Rieti)


	Rieti		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.15
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	2.22 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rieti
58.4%

Fortitudo Bologna
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Guariglia T.	6. Anumba S.
22. Hogue D.	7. Della Rosa G.
5. Palumbo M.	21. Fantinelli M.
11. Perry D.	3. Sarto A.
27. Udom L.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
3. Bellini M.	26. De Vico N.
30. Cicchetti M.	77. Gamberini F.
98. Paesano A.	14. Guaiana V.
0. Parravicini M.	10. Imbro M.
7. Pascolo D.	33. Moretti S.
13. Piccin L.
2. Piunti G.
Coaches
. Ciani F.	. Caja A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rieti won 1.

Recent form of Rieti has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fortitudo Bologna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rieti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rieti could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rieti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 387:413. (average 64.5:68.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rieti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 119:120. (average 59.5:60).

Last Results with these Odds

Rieti - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.5%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	91:73 ✺
17.12.25	Rieti - Brindisi	87:76 ✺
14.12.25	Rieti - Libertas Livorno	64:75 ✺
07.12.25	Basket Torino - Rieti	82:72 ✺
26.11.25	Scafati - Rieti	95:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Ruvo di Puglia	91:54 ✺
14.12.25	Rimini - Fortitudo Bologna	83:68 ✺
10.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Fortitudo Bologna	65:56 ✺
07.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	66:64 ✺
03.12.25	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	85:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
02.03.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	81:75
06.11.24	Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna	61:60
24.05.24	Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna	58:60
21.05.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	75:59
19.05.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	67:58
10.03.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	70:76

Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide