Match Info

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel		NLEX Road Warriors

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.39	2.61
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)	2.48 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
62.4%

NLEX Road Warriors
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barangay Ginebra San Miguel's form might have worsened.

NLEX Road Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NLEX Road Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - NLEX Road Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Barangay Ginebra will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Road Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:96

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 3.

Barangay Ginebra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barangay Ginebra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2020:1889. (average 101:94.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Barangay Ginebra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 777:731. (average 97.1:91.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
20.03.26	Macau Black Bears - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	93:110 ✺
Philippines Cup
16.01.26	San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	101:88 ✺
14.01.26	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen	109:115 ✺
11.01.26	San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	91:105 ✺
09.01.26	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen	85:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- NLEX Road Warriors
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
22.03.26	NLEX Road Warriors - TNT Tropang 5G	97:103 ✺
15.03.26	NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots	112:105 ✺
13.03.26	Blackwater Bossing - NLEX Road Warriors	81:84 ✺
Philippines Cup
25.12.25	NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen	94:101 ✺
17.12.25	Converge FiberXers - NLEX Road Warriors	107:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Philippines Cup
02.11.25	NLEX Road Warriors - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	74:104
07.05.25	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - NLEX Road Warriors	86:89
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
11.12.24	NLEX Road Warriors - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	100:109
Philippines - Governors Cup
22.09.24	NLEX Road Warriors - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	103:99 OT
03.09.24	NLEX Road Warriors - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	91:119
Philippines Cup
05.05.24	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - NLEX Road Warriors	72:76
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
13.01.24	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - NLEX Road Warriors	103:99

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