Match Info

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	NLEX Road Warriors		Magnolia Hotshots

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.47	1.44
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NLEX Road Warriors
37.6%

Magnolia Hotshots
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NLEX Road Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Magnolia Hotshots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:98

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Road Warriors won 2.

Magnolia Hotshots is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Road Warriors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1805:2015. (average 90.3:100.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Road Warriors won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 777:883. (average 86.3:98.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NLEX Road Warriors
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
13.03.26	Blackwater Bossing - NLEX Road Warriors	81:84 ✺
Philippines Cup
25.12.25	NLEX Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen	94:101 ✺
17.12.25	Converge FiberXers - NLEX Road Warriors	107:95 OT ✺
13.12.25	TNT Tropang 5G - NLEX Road Warriors	119:100 ✺
07.12.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	98:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Magnolia Hotshots
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
13.03.26	Magnolia Hotshots - Phoenix Fuel Masters	98:101 ✺
Philippines Cup
27.12.25	Magnolia Hotshots - TNT Tropang 5G	109:118 ✺
21.12.25	TNT Tropang 5G - Magnolia Hotshots	94:83 ✺
15.12.25	Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	92:101 ✺
07.12.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	98:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines Cup
07.12.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	98:82
06.06.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	99:107
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
02.02.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	112:81
20.12.24	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	99:95 OT
Philippines Cup
06.04.24	NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots	87:74
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
01.12.23	NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots	72:99
Philippines - Governors Cup
16.02.23	NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots	103:119

NLEX Road Warriors - Magnolia Hotshots: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide