Match Info

Date: 17 November 2021, Wednesday


	Barcelona		CSKA Moscow

	1	2
	1.41	3	Watch
	1.44	2.8
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.38	2.95
	1.4	3.14
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.44	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
68.1%

CSKA Moscow
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	0%	9.8%

Barcelona - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Preview

Recent matches Barcelona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSKA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

CSKA is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 19 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1508-1567.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 808-827.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish ACB League
14.11.21	Barcelona - Valencia	79:87 ✺
Euroleague
11.11.21	Barcelona - Baskonia	93:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.11.21	Obradoiro CAB - Barcelona	65:79 ✺
Euroleague
04.11.21	Olimpia Milano - Barcelona	75:70 ✺
Spanish ACB League
31.10.21	Barcelona - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	79:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW
- CSKA Moscow Basketball
Euroleague
11.11.21	CSKA Moscow - Maccabi Tel Aviv	74:73 ✺
VTB United League
07.11.21	UNICS - CSKA Moscow	69:64 ✺
Euroleague
04.11.21	CSKA Moscow - Fenerbahçe	82:91 ✺
VTB United League
01.11.21	Tallinna Kalev - CSKA Moscow	67:56 ✺
Euroleague
29.10.21	AS Monaco Basket - CSKA Moscow	97:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.01.21	CSKA Moscow - Barcelona	75:88
01.10.20	Barcelona - CSKA Moscow	76:66
27.02.20	CSKA Moscow - Barcelona	80:82
29.11.19	Barcelona - CSKA Moscow	67:96
25.01.19	Barcelona - CSKA Moscow	76:84
11.10.18	CSKA Moscow - Barcelona	95:75
04.01.18	Barcelona - CSKA Moscow	85:72

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