The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Giovanni Valdarno 43.4%
Basket Costa 56.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Giovanni Valdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Giovanni Valdarno's form might have worsened.
Basket Costa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Costa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni Valdarno than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Giovanni Valdarno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Costa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Costa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SG Valdarno will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Basket Costa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:76
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Bernardi I.
34. Brossmann P.
45. De Cassan F.
9. Moscarella Contreras M. P.
10. Merisio F.
11. N'Guessan N. (C)
22. Ngamene Takougang K. L.
15. Pirozzi G.
25. Ovner E.
7. Teder J. E.
Substitutes
13. Celani N.
6. Cibinetto G.
16. Diakhoumpa D.
10. Lelli O.
30. Folcarelli V.
91. Olandi G.
8. Lazzaro M. (C)
12. Redaelli G.
21. Mosetti M.
8. Sanogo A.
20. Volpato E.
Coaches
. Franchini A.
. Bereziartua F.
Preview
Costa Masnaga leads series 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 1.
SG Valdarno is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Basket Costa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Basket Costa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 678:718. (average 67.8:71.8).
Including home matches between the teams, SG Valdarno won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 296:251. (average 74:62.8).
Watch
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Bernardi I. 
Brossmann P. 
Ovner E. 
Teder J. E. 
Bereziartua F. 
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