Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)


	Basket Pesaro		Dinamo Sassari

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.15	1.7
	2.25	1.69
	2.24	1.69
	2.12	1.75
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
43.9%

Dinamo Sassari
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dinamo Sassari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Sassari than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Sassari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Basket Pesaro - Dinamo Sassari Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pesaro will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sassari will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 3.

Basket Pesaro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sassari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sassari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 1970-2272.

Including matches at home between the teams Basket Pesaro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 963-1002.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.12.23	Virtus Bologna - Basket Pesaro	83:66 ✺
23.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Varese	81:88 ✺
17.12.23	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	73:74 ✺
10.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	74:87 ✺
02.12.23	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	101:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLL
- Dinamo Sassari
Champions League Basketball
03.01.24	Cholet Basket - Dinamo Sassari	72:93 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.12.23	Dinamo Sassari - Venezia	62:73 ✺
23.12.23	Reggiana - Dinamo Sassari	77:59 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.12.23	Dinamo Sassari - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	97:81 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.12.23	Dinamo Sassari - Brindisi	84:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
29.01.23	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Pesaro	110:74
27.11.22	Basket Pesaro - Dinamo Sassari	81:75
10.04.22	Basket Pesaro - Dinamo Sassari	75:73
26.09.21	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Pesaro	75:73
Italian Cup Basketball
12.02.21	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Pesaro	110:115 OT (99:99)
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.21	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Pesaro	99:74
27.09.20	Basket Pesaro - Dinamo Sassari	85:95

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