Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 33

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia) 🌤️ ...


	Pistoia Basket		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	3.25	1.3
	2.95	1.32
	3.36	1.31
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.96)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
29.9%

Basket Pesaro
70.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anderson K.	21. Bucarelli L.
9. Dellosto N.	2. Johnson J.
5. Gallo F.	7. Maretto O.
15. Saccaggi L.	15. Tambone M.
41. Zanotti S.	18. Virginio N.
Substitutes
11. Ciocca L.	5. Bertini A.
14. Cosimo F.	25. Fainke E.
18. Magro D.	16. Reginato P.
16. Pinelli G.	8. Sakine E. Y.
4. Stefanini G.	1. Trucchetti S.
Coaches
. Pete S.	. Leka S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 1.

Pistoia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pesaro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pesaro is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1535:1492. (average 80.8:78.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 771:726. (average 85.7:80.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499:459	10
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	469:419	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.03.26	Libertas Livorno - Pistoia Basket	60:68 ✺
22.03.26	Pistoia Basket - Basket Torino	72:80 ✺
08.03.26	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	82:97 ✺
01.03.26	Roseto Sharks - Pistoia Basket	87:71 ✺
21.02.26	Mestre - Pistoia Basket	90:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.03.26	Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna	84:86 ✺
21.03.26	Mestre - Basket Pesaro	75:93 ✺
08.03.26	Basket Pesaro - Juvi Cremona	76:64 ✺
22.02.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	85:78 ✺
15.02.26	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
29.10.25	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	82:73
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.24	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	89:82
17.12.23	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	73:74
22.12.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	91:79
Club Friendly Basketball
31.08.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	81:88
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.01.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	77:81
07.10.18	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	83:77

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