Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 11

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Basket Pesaro		Basket Trento

	1	2
	2.05	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.19	1.71
	2.19	1.72
	2.2	1.7	Watch
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
44.8%

Basket Trento
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Trento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1326-1461.

Including matches at home between the teams Basket Pesaro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 707-803.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
02.12.23	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	101:68 ✺
26.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	95:76 ✺
19.11.23	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Pesaro	96:69 ✺
12.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Derthona Basket Tortona	96:92 ✺
04.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Napoli Basket	77:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Basket Trento
Eurocup
06.12.23	Basket Trento - Ratiopharm Ulm	83:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.12.23	Basket Trento - Venezia	106:79 ✺
Eurocup
29.11.23	Basket Trento - Aris	69:67 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.11.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	83:80 OT ✺
Eurocup
21.11.23	KK Budućnost - Basket Trento	98:96 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.04.23	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	70:84
04.12.22	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	79:75
23.04.22	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	82:83
31.10.21	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	75:79
07.02.21	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	70:81
17.10.20	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	57:71
09.11.19	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	95:101 OT (82:82)

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