Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 32

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro) 🌤️ ...


	Basket Pesaro		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.5	2.3
	1.64	2.28
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.52)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
59.4%

Fortitudo Bologna
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fortitudo Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Pesaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortitudo Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bucarelli L.	6. Anumba S.
2. Johnson J.	21. Fantinelli M.
7. Maretto O.	2. Moore L.
15. Tambone M.	3. Sarto A.
18. Virginio N.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
5. Bertini A.	7. Della Rosa G.
13. De Laurentiis Q.	26. De Vico N.
25. Fainke E.	14. Guaiana V.
16. Reginato P.	10. Imbro M.
8. Sakine E. Y.	33. Moretti S.
1. Trucchetti S.
Coaches
. Leka S.	. Caja A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pesaro won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pesaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pesaro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 774:785. (average 77.4:78.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 312:306. (average 78:76.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499:459	10
5	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	488:464	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.03.26	Mestre - Basket Pesaro	75:93 ✺
08.03.26	Basket Pesaro - Juvi Cremona	76:64 ✺
22.02.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	85:78 ✺
15.02.26	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	84:79 ✺
11.02.26	Cividale - Basket Pesaro	82:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.03.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Rimini	78:76 OT ✺
11.03.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Baltur Cento	78:70 ✺
06.03.26	Libertas Livorno - Fortitudo Bologna	91:73 ✺
22.02.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	79:65 ✺
15.02.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Fortitudo Bologna	83:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.10.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	74:81
06.05.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	94:85
16.02.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	70:71
29.12.24	Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna	82:61
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.22	Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna	88:87
10.10.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	87:66
10.04.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	77:79

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