Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 24

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)


	Basket Pesaro		Reggiana

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.15	1.7
	2.33	1.65
	2.31	1.65
	2.2	1.7
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.94)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
42.6%

Reggiana
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Basket Pesaro - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: Basket Pesaro will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Reggiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Basket Pesaro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1551-1761.

Including matches at home between the teams Basket Pesaro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 864-924.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Virtus Bologna	87:86 OT ✺
10.03.24	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	109:82 ✺
03.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Basket Brescia	93:83 ✺
11.02.24	Varese - Basket Pesaro	91:80 ✺
04.02.24	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	83:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWLL
- Reggiana BC
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.03.24	Reggiana - Varese	113:80 ✺
09.03.24	Treviso Basket - Reggiana	71:63 ✺
02.03.24	Reggiana - Basket Trento	77:75 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
17.02.24	Reggiana - Napoli Basket	78:87 OT ✺
15.02.24	Virtus Bologna - Reggiana	72:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.12.23	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	101:68
Club Friendly Basketball
24.09.23	Basket Pesaro - Reggiana	83:86
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.02.23	Basket Pesaro - Reggiana	85:74
30.12.22	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	95:76
06.03.22	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	86:77
19.12.21	Basket Pesaro - Reggiana	69:72
29.03.21	Reggiana - Basket Pesaro	91:79

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