Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 22

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: BLM Group Arena (Trento)


	Basket Trento		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.4	3
	1.4	3.06
	1.4	3.06
	1.44	2.85
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Trento
67.4%

Basket Pesaro
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trento won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

Basket Pesaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trento is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Trento won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1548-1400.

Including matches at home between the teams Trento won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 658-619.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Trento
Italian Lega A Basketball
02.03.24	Reggiana - Basket Trento	77:75 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
14.02.24	Olimpia Milano - Basket Trento	80:57 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.02.24	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	82:85 ✺
Eurocup
07.02.24	Aris - Basket Trento	84:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.02.24	Basket Trento - Varese	90:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.03.24	Basket Pesaro - Basket Brescia	93:83 ✺
11.02.24	Varese - Basket Pesaro	91:80 ✺
04.02.24	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	83:82 ✺
28.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Brindisi	78:86 ✺
21.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Olimpia Milano	65:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
10.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	74:87
02.04.23	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	70:84
04.12.22	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	79:75
23.04.22	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	82:83
31.10.21	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	75:79
07.02.21	Basket Trento - Basket Pesaro	70:81
17.10.20	Basket Pesaro - Basket Trento	57:71

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