Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)


	Varese		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.39	3.13
	1.44	2.85
	1.39	3.03	Watch
	1.39	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	3 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
68.3%

Basket Pesaro
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Varese - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pesaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimberio Varese won 2.

Recent matches Cimberio Varese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basket Pesaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basket Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cimberio Varese have a series of guest games.

In this match Cimberio Varese is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cimberio Varese to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Cimberio Varese won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1971-1859.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimberio Varese won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 966-870.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
FIBA Europe Cup
07.02.24	CSM Oradea - Varese	96:103 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.02.24	Basket Trento - Varese	90:84 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
31.01.24	Leiden - Varese	81:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.01.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	82:83 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
24.01.24	Varese - Niners Chemnitz	90:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.02.24	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	83:82 ✺
28.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Brindisi	78:86 ✺
21.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Olimpia Milano	65:85 ✺
14.01.24	Napoli Basket - Basket Pesaro	93:75 ✺
07.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Dinamo Sassari	69:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
23.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Varese	81:88
11.03.23	Varese - Basket Pesaro	110:99
Italian Cup Basketball
15.02.23	Basket Pesaro - Varese	84:80
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.12.22	Basket Pesaro - Varese	101:93
20.03.22	Varese - Basket Pesaro	76:87
05.12.21	Basket Pesaro - Varese	94:75
14.03.21	Varese - Basket Pesaro	81:68

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