Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)


	Basket Zaragoza		Cholet Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.41	2.68	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.44	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.66	Watch
	1.41	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	2.69 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Zaragoza
65.5%

Cholet Basket
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basket Zaragoza's performance.

Cholet Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cholet Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cholet Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Basket Zaragoza - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Bell-Haynes T.	11. Ayayi G.
14. Dubljevic B.	44. Campbell T.
8. Mencia Y.	2. Melvin C.
0. Spissu M.	25. Ndow C.
4. Yusta S.	32. Vautier B.
Substitutes
33. Dimsa T.	22. Bracq S.
10. Fernandez J.	77. De Sousa N.
7. Gonzalez M.	12. Diawara M.
28. Moreno A.	15. Levillain L.
3. Slaughter A. J.	8. McNeace J.
19. Sulejmanovic E.	3. Smith S.
9. Watson N.	0. Wheeler A.
Coaches
. Fisac P.	. Lefrancois F.

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zaragoza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zaragoza have a series of home games.

Zaragoza will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Cholet Basket - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
01.03.25	Basket Zaragoza - Valencia	71:115 ✺
09.02.25	Girona - Basket Zaragoza	89:101 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.02.25	Basket Zaragoza - Tofaş	79:80 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.25	Basket Zaragoza - UCAM Murcia	79:88 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.01.25	Basket Zaragoza - Maroussi Athens	80:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
02.03.25	Cholet Basket - AS Monaco Basket	84:95 ✺
French Cup Basketball
26.02.25	Le Mans - Cholet Basket	101:82 ✺
French Leaders Cup Basketball
14.02.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	91:93 ✺
French Cup Basketball
11.02.25	Nanterre - Cholet Basket	84:97 ✺
French LNB
07.02.25	Gravelines - Cholet Basket	70:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

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