Match Info

Euroleague - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: BMW Park (Munich)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Israel	Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2.04	Watch
	1.89	2.04
	1.76	2.04	Watch
	1.89	1.97	Watch
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.6)	2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern München
52.2%

Žalgiris Kaunas
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern München's form might have worsened.

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žalgiris Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern München, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	0%	87.8%

Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Bayern München will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 43 - 89.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 81% – 98.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 158, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Žalgiris (votes: 35 - 94.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mike I.	8. Brazdeikis I.
11. Lucic V.	14. Sleva D.
8. Kratzer L.	15. Birutis L.
21. Hollatz J.	1. Williams-Goss N.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	3. Francisco S.
Substitutes
44. Baldwin K.	51. Butkevicius A.
1. Da Silva O.	12. Lo M.
5. Giffey N.	17. Rubstavicius M.
10. Jessup J.	91. Sirvydis D.
16. Jovic S.	10. Tubelis A.
33. McCormack D.	92. Ulanovas E.
13. Obst A.	7. Wright M.
Coaches
. Herbert G.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 3.

Bayern München has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Žalgiris is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1154:1134. (average 76.9:75.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 606:605. (average 75.8:75.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
05.10.25	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	96:79 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.25	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	97:88 ✺
30.09.25	Panathinaikos - Bayern München	87:79 ✺
German BBL
26.09.25	Bayern München - Science City Jena	93:77 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	90:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
05.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Juventus Utena	98:68 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe	84:81 ✺
01.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:89 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.09.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:84 ✺
24.09.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	93:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.01.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Bayern München	82:97
07.11.24	Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:74
15.03.24	Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas	64:58
17.11.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Bayern München	74:73
14.04.23	Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas	80:83
23.12.22	Žalgiris Kaunas - Bayern München	75:67
11.01.22	Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas	74:65

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