Match Info

Euroleague - Round 16

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Lezcano L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Bayern München

	1	2
	2	1.77	Watch
	2.02	1.78
	2.02	1.82
	2.13	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.06	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
46.6%

Bayern München
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern München, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	0%	57.7%

ASVEL Basket - Bayern München Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Bayern München will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern München: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Bayern München (votes: 7 - 43.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Colo N.	1. Da Silva O.
3. Harrison S.	26. Dinwiddie S.
23. Lighty D.	16. Jovic S.
10. Massa B.	11. Lucic V.
1. Seljaas Z.	7. Voigtmann J.
Substitutes
8. Ajinca M.	32. Gabriel W.
2. Atamna A.	5. Giffey N.
7. Heurtel T.	10. Jessup J.
24. Ndiaye M.	33. McCormack D.
94. Traore A.	22. Mike I.
32. Vautier B.	13. Obst A.
30. Watson G.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Herbert G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bayern München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern München has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 944:1018. (average 72.6:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 475:481. (average 79.2:80.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
14.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	85:87 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - ASVEL Basket	92:84 ✺
French Cup Basketball
09.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Saint-Quentin	99:74 ✺
French LNB
06.12.25	Strasbourg - ASVEL Basket	81:96 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - ASVEL Basket	87:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
14.12.25	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Bayern München	79:87 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Dubai - Bayern München	89:88 ✺
German BBL
07.12.25	Bayern München - Mitteldeutscher	83:62 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	92:85 ✺
25.11.25	Valencia - Bayern München	90:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
06.02.25	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	76:67
01.11.24	ASVEL Basket - Bayern München	71:84
25.01.24	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	64:76
23.11.23	ASVEL Basket - Bayern München	100:101 OT
07.03.23	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	76:72
23.11.22	ASVEL Basket - Bayern München	74:75
25.01.22	ASVEL Basket - Bayern München	68:77

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