Match Info

Euroleague - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: BMW Park (Munich)

Referee: Lezcano L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		Olimpia Milano

	1	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.85	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.04
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern München
54.5%

Olimpia Milano
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Olimpia Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern München, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Milano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Bayern München - Olimpia Milano Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bayern München will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia Milano: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 6 - 60%). Olimpia Milano (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Olimpia Milano (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 163.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 6 - 50%). Olimpia Milano (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Baldwin K.	10. Bolmaro L.
11. Lucic V.	2. Brown L.
33. McCormack D.	5. Ceccato M.
22. Mike I.	3. Ellis Q.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	31. Shields S.
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O.	12. Brooks A.
32. Gabriel W.	25. Diop O.
5. Giffey N.	42. Dunston B.
21. Hollatz J.	23. Guduric M.
10. Jessup J.	1. Mannion N.
8. Kratzer L.	17. Ricci G.
13. Obst A.	7. Tonut S.
Coaches
. Herbert G.	. Messina E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Bayern München has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Bayern München will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1576:1609. (average 78.8:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 762:707. (average 84.7:78.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern München - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Olimpia Milano - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
12.10.25	Bayern München - Brose Bamberg	96:81 ✺
Euroleague
10.10.25	Bayern München - Žalgiris Kaunas	70:98 ✺
German BBL
05.10.25	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	96:79 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.25	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	97:88 ✺
30.09.25	Panathinaikos - Bayern München	87:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Olimpia Milano
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.25	Varese - Olimpia Milano	61:94 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Olimpia Milano - AS Monaco Basket	79:82 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.10.25	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:74 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Olimpia Milano	80:78 ✺
30.09.25	Crvena Zvezda - Olimpia Milano	82:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
04.02.25	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	87:70
20.12.24	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	78:79
05.01.24	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	76:62
05.12.23	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	91:84 OT
24.03.23	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	99:74
20.10.22	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	81:83
29.03.22	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	84:77

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