Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Cadillac Arena (Beijing)


	Beijing Ducks		Shanghai Sharks

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.52
	2.45	1.51
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.5	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Ducks
38.8%

Shanghai Sharks
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Shanghai Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Ducks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Sharks than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Beijing Ducks will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

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Lineups


1. Chen Ying-Chun	24. Fogg K.
8. Fang Shuo	14. Li Hongquan
10. German E.	1. Li Tianrong
19. Jianiyou Taruike	11. Liu Zheng
27. Qi Z.	2. Lofton K.
9. Raymond	94. Wang Zhelin
14. Spellman O.	21. Whiteside H.
31. Williams A.	10. Xie Liyongwei
7. Zeng F.	9. Yan Pengfei
20. Zhai Xiaochuan	3. Yuan Tangwen
24. Zhao Rui	77. Zhang Zhenlin
Coaches
. Xu Limin	. Lu W.

Preview

Shanghai leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 1.

Beijing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Beijing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanghai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1850:1926. (average 92.5:96.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 778:773. (average 97.3:96.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Ducks
CBA
20.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks	66:81 ✺
17.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	88:99 ✺
15.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	87:82 ✺
12.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	88:73 ✺
09.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	102:99 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL
- Shanghai Sharks
CBA
20.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks	66:81 ✺
17.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	88:99 ✺
15.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	87:82 ✺
09.05.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shanghai Sharks	68:96 ✺
06.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
20.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks	66:81
17.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	88:99
15.05.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	87:82
12.04.26	Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks	83:88
20.01.26	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	86:67
21.03.25	Shanghai Sharks - Beijing Ducks	94:91
27.02.25	Beijing Ducks - Shanghai Sharks	108:98

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