Match Info

CBA

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen) 🌤️ ...


	Shenzhen Leopards		Xinjiang Flying Tigers

	1	2
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.15
	1.3	3.29
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.29	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)	3.22 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Leopards
70.9%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Leopards's performance.

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinjiang Flying Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Leopards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinjiang Flying Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Xinjiang (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xinjiang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. He Xining	5. Lawson D.
20. Johnson M.	13. Li Yanzhe
27. Kaba A.	4. Monhetaner Yilifulati
8. Rong Zifeng	1. Nutall Z.
33. Wang Haoran	6. Rui Yang
Substitutes
24. Johnson A.	23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu
21. Li Muhao	10. Feng Ao
2. Lu Pengyu	36. Haoran Ge
77. Smith T.	7. Mennenga S.
5. Sun Haoqin	19. Qu Xiaoyu
1. Wu Zihan	34. Tuxun Aizimaiti
9. Zhou Peng	8. Zhaohang Y.
Coaches
. Yonggang Z.	. Bedev G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Xinjiang has had a series of home games.

Shenzhen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2000:2088. (average 100:104.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1087:1117. (average 98.8:101.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
12	Xinjiang	6	3	3	518:523	0.500
13	Shenzhen	5	2	3	384:489	0.400

Outrights of CBA for now

Shenzhen: 8.65% Xinjiang: 2.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Leopards
CBA
18.03.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Shenzhen Leopards	84:96 ✺
16.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:96 ✺
13.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	97:101 ✺
11.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Liaoning Dinosaurs	88:96 ✺
03.02.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Shenzhen Leopards	126:123 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL
- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
17.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	111:89 ✺
15.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	103:89 ✺
13.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Jilin Northeast Tigers	82:89 ✺
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80 ✺
03.02.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	59:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese CBA Club Cup
04.12.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	96:95
CBA
12.03.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	118:102
25.01.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	118:109
27.11.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	80:114
15.10.24	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	130:117
Club Friendly Basketball
04.10.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	95:92
CBA
14.03.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	97:102

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