Match Info

PORTUGAL: PROLIGA - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Acácio Rosa (Lisbon)


	Belenenses		Sampaense

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.47	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
62%

Sampaense
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sampaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Belenenses - Sampaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Preview

Recent matches Belenenses is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampaense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Belenenses will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Belenenses to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belenenses Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
19.02.23	Belenenses - Eléctrico	89:76 ✺
05.02.23	Belenenses - Benfica B	91:84 ✺
28.01.23	Ginásio Olhanense - Belenenses	88:82 ✺
21.01.23	Belenenses - Barreirense	97:85 ✺
14.01.23	CAQ Queluz - Belenenses	87:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.02.23	Sampaense - Barreirense	116:111 ✺
19.02.23	Benfica B - Sampaense	85:83 OT ✺
05.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Sampaense	82:53 ✺
28.01.23	Sampaense - Illiabum	56:98 ✺
21.01.23	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Sampaense	93:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL

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